Athletics vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds, Props: Arizona Takes Finale

Athletics vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds, Props: Arizona Takes Finale

On Wednesday night in the desert, ESPN airs the interleague series finale between the Arizona Diamondbacks and Athletics. 

Check out this full Athletics vs. Diamondbacks prediction to see the key stats, player prop bets, and game odds. 

FanDuel Sportsbook has the Phillies as the moneyline favorites at -118 with a total of 9 runs. 

Athletics vs. Diamondbacks odds 

Moneyline Total (Over/Under) Run Line
Athletics (-101) Over 9 runs (-115) Athletics -1.5 runs (+160)
Diamondback (-118) Under 9 runs (-105) Diamondbacks +1.5 runs (-195)

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How we got here 

The Athletics (43-58) have split the first two games in this series and have won two of four after a 10-game losing streak. They are in fourth place in the American League West, eight games out of first place.

The Diamondbacks (52-49) have won three of four games and, while in second place in the NL West, are 11.5 games back of the Los Angeles Dodgers. 

Athletics vs. Diamondbacks betting analysis   

On the season, the Diamondbacks are 30-22 at home, and the Athletics are 23-28 on the road. 

By the numbers: Key stats for both teams 

Athletics

  • Runs – 14th
  • Team ERA – 29th

Diamondbacks

  • Runs – 19th
  • Team ERA – 15th

Pitching matchup for series finale 

Gage Jump (3-5, 3.78 ERA, 1.32 WHIP) takes the hill for the Athletics. In his last start, he gave up four runs in only 3 2/3 innings of an embarrassing 23-4 home loss to the Washington Nationals. The A's have lost his last five starts, and he has given up at least four runs in three of his last four outings. 

Merrill Kelly (7-8, 5.20 ERA, 1.49 WHIP) gets the nod for the D-Backs and, in his last start, gave up three runs in five innings of a 5-4 loss to the St. Louis Cardinals. Arizona won his previous two starts, where he gave up three runs over 12 innings of work. 

Pitching woes continue for Athletics 

The Athletics rank second-last in team ERA across the Majors. In their last 14 games, they've given up at least six runs eight times and 10+ runs three times. 

Two of the big 3 in the lineup 

Shea Langeliers (.261, 23 home runs, 51 RBIs), Nick Kurtz (.266, 20 home runs, 66 RBIs), and Tyler Soderstrom (.247, 16 home runs, 47 RBIs) are the three big bats in the Athletics lineup. Kurtz is out on the 10-day IL. 

Langeliers had a home run in the 6-5 loss to Arizona yesterday, and he and Soderstrom each have two home runs and five RBIs over the last five games. 

A's have had major road issues lately 

The Athletics have lost nine of their last 10 road games, where they are batting .208 and have been outscored 60-14. 

Marte breaking out of slump  

Ketel Marte (.256, 18 home runs, 59 RBIs), who leads the D-Backs in home runs and RBIs, was slumping for most of the month, but has a home run and five RBIs over the last five games. 

Lineup has heated up 

Arizona has won seven of its last nine games, and averaged 6.4 runs per game in those wins.

Still a lot to play for, at least for Arizona 

While the Athletics are eight games out of first place in their division and nine games out of the AL Wild Card, the D-Backs are tied with the Pittsburgh Pirates for the third and final NL Wild Card. 

Athletics vs. Diamondbacks prediction: Diamondbacks (-118)

The Athletics have averaged 1.4 runs in losing nine of the last 10 road games, and their starter tonight, Gage Jump, has given up at least four runs in three of his last four starts. Enough said, the Diamondbacks will win and take the series. 

A's vs D-Backs player prop picks 

Here are some player prop bets we like at DraftKings Sportsbook:

  • Merrill Kelly 4+ strikeouts (+127) While Kelly only had three strikeouts in his last start, he had six in each of the previous two, and the Athletics have the ninth most Ks in MLB.
  • Shea Langeliers (+454), Tyler Soderstrom (+590) to hit a HR – Good value odds for this duo. They both have two home runs over their last five games.