Yankees vs. Phillies Prediction, Odds, and Props: Jump on the Under
The lone evening game on Sunday on NBC is an interleague series finale in the City of Brotherly Love with the Philadelphia Phillies playing host to the New York Yankees.
FanDuel Sportsbook has the visiting Phillies as the pretty big favorite, posted at -175 with a total of 8 runs.
Yankees vs. Phillies Odds
| Moneyline | Total (Over/Under) | Run Line |
| Yankees (+145) | Over 8 runs (-112) | Yankees +1.5 runs (-147) |
| Phillies (-175) | Under 8 runs (-107) | Phillies -1.5 runs (+122) |
The biggest US sportsbooks have the Yankees with the second best odds to win the World Series (+550) with the Phillies having the sixth best odds (+1500).
How we got here
The Yankees (59-45) have won the first two games of this series and have won three in a row and five of their last six games. They are in second place in the AL East, two games back of the Tampa Bay Rays.
The Phillies (56-49) have dropped their last four games, and after getting to within two games of the NL East-leading Atlanta Braves, they now trail them by 5.5 games.
Yankees vs. Phillies betting analysis
On the season, the Phillies are 27-27 at home, and the Yankees have the second-best road record (33-22) in the Majors.
By the numbers
Yankees
- Runs – 11th
- Team ERA – 1st
Phillies
- Runs – Tied for 18th
- Team ERA – 18th
Pitching Matchup
Will Warren (7-4, 4.00 ERA, 1.37 WHIP) gets the call for New York, and his last appearance came out of the bullpen, not giving up any runs in 2/3 of an inning. The Yankees won his last start, where he only gave up one run, while losing his previous four, where he gave up at least five runs in three of them.
All-Star starter Christopher Sanchez (12-4, 2.71 ERA, 1.19 WHIP) goes for Philly, and he gave up three runs in 5 1/3 innings in his last start in a 10-7 win over the Los Angeles Dodgers. The Phillies have won three of his last four starts; in the lone loss in that span, he gave up a season-high nine runs.
The Philadelphia lineup cools down after a big game
After scoring 10 runs in a win, the Phillies have only totaled seven runs in losing four in a row and have only scored a total of one run in the two games of this series.
New York has been dominant on the mound
In their three-game win streak, the Yankees have only given up one run, and they have needed that since they only totaled six runs.
Phillies’ leaders are slumping
Kyle Schwarber (.251, 33 home runs, 61 RBIs) leads the Majors in home runs and is tied with Bryce Harper (.251, 21 home runs, 61 RBIs) for the club lead in RBIs, and each is slumping. Schwarber does not have an RBI over the last six games and is only batting .212 this month, and Harper is only batting .154 in July with one home run.
Bronx Bombers living up to their name even without Judge
Even though the Yankees have been without star slugger Aaron Judge (.248, 17 home runs, 38 RBIs) since the end of May, the team still ranks second in baseball in home runs. Ben Rice (.271, 30 home runs, 71 RBIs) ranks fourth in the bigs in home runs, and four players have at least 16 this season.
While New York has three home runs in their last three games they were all solo shots.
Yankees vs. Phillies prediction: Under 8 runs (-107)
These teams have only totaled five runs in the two games in this series, and the Phillies have only totaled seven runs in their four-game losing streak.
Philly has their ace on the hill in Sanchez, and New York leads baseball in team ERA and bullpen ERA. In another low-scoring affair, the Under is the pick.
Player Prop Picks
Here are some player prop bets we like at DraftKings Sportsbook:
- Christopher Sanchez Under 1.5 walks (-124) – Sanchez has great control, and in his last 11 starts he has walked more than one batter only once.
- Will Warren to record Over 14.5 outs (-127) – 14.5 outs is 4 2/3 innings, and Warren has reached the fifth inning in three of his last four starts. On top of that, he will be facing a struggling Phillies’ lineup.
