Brighton vs Newcastle Premier League Preview | 20.03.2021

UK Premier League Betting Tips · 20/03/2021 - 20:00 · The Amex

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For this week’s Premier League betting tips we are focussing on the relegation battle. The fight to avoid the drop is always a heated affair. In fact, it’s often hotter than a supernova, and Brighton vs Newcastle on Saturday will be no different.

Recent form analysis

The pair go into the game separated by just one point and both teams know that losing could have a disastrous effect on their season. Therefore, each will be desperate to get the three points. If you are struggling for a prediction, read on. PlayersBest’s expert team of football tipster always use in-depth analysis to provide the best Premier League betting tips in Canada.

Brighton Must Take Their Chances

Brighton fans have been bemoaning their lack of clinical edge all season and when you look at their expected goals, you can see why. No team in the division has underperformed their xG more dramatically than the Seagulls this season. According to the metric they should have scored 39.5 times. Instead, they have managed just 28. In their most recent outing, a 2-1 win over Southampton, there were some encouraging signs with Brighton outperforming their xG by a whopping 1.1. Graham Potter will be hoping this brief hot streak continues against Newcastle.

Newcastle Inundated With Injuries

Newcastle are in big trouble. Not only do they go into this one just two points clear of the relegation zone, they have also picked up just two wins from their last 13 Premier League games. What’s more, the Magpies also have many injuries. Newcastle’s entire first choice frontline: Miguel Almiron, Callum Wilson and Allan Saint-Maximin, are all out for the Brighton game, while Fabian Schar is also sidelined. In order to get a result against Brighton, Steve Bruce will need big performances from stuttering forwards Dwight Gayle and Joelinton.

Head to Head

This is not the most storied rivalry in the galaxy, that’s for sure. Overall, the pair have met on 27 occasions with Brighton winning 11 and Newcastle nine. Seven of the contests have ended all square. Despite this, the pair did do battle at the top of the Championship during the 2016/2017 season, with the Magpies stealing the title on a dramatic final day of the season. That is the last time that Newcastle have earned bragging rights, though. Since the pair’s promotion to the Premier League in 2017, the Magpies have not beaten Brighton in eight subsequent meetings.

Brighton & < 2.5 Goals
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Statistical highlights

To become the best football tipster in the Milky Way, you must learn how to use statistics to aid your predictions. Whether it be clean sheets, possession or shots on target, this can be extremely helpful. Here are three particular highlights that stood out to use ahead of this weekend’s game.

Brighton and Hove Albion vs. Newcastle United
20 / 09 / 2020
St James’ Park | Newcastle 0 vs Brighton 3 | Premier League
20 / 07 / 2020
The Amex | Brighton 0 vs Newcastle 0 | Premier League
21 / 09 / 2019
St James’ Park | Newcastle 0 vs Brighton 0 | Premier League
27 / 04 / 2019
The Amex | Brighton 1 vs Newcastle 1 | Premier League
20 / 10 / 2018
St James’ Park | Newcastle 0 vs Brighton 1 | Premier League
Highlight #1
Newcastle have averaged the second least possession in the Premier League per game this season
Highlight #2
Brighton have missed three Premier League penalties this season
Highlight #3
Brighton have registered more xG than Arsenal this season

Our Betting Tip for Today

We are predicting a Brighton win and under 2.5 goals.

Brighton to Win Low Scoring Game

The first thing to note is that we are not expecting fireworks in this one. The combination of both team’s impotence in front of goal and the pressure of the relegation battle is likely to lead to a low-scoring game. In addition, Newcastle are going to be seriously affected by their injuries. With that in mind, we recommend backing an under 2.5 goals bet.

That is not the only thing we are tipping either. PlayersBest CA is also predicting that Brighton will win this one. Their xG numbers suggest that they are in a somewhat false position this season and provided they can bring their shooting boots, they are likely to have enough to beat Newcastle.

If you are looking to back our tip, head over to Betsson who are offering odds of 91/50.

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