Norway vs. England Prediction, Odds, Props: Norway Meet Their Match?
Norway pulled off a major upset in their last match against Brazil in the Round of 16 and are the betting underdogs against England in the quarterfinals.
This Norway vs. England prediction includes an overview of the odds, our player prop picks, and key info for the huge match on Saturday.
The Three Lions are the pretty big moneyline betting favorites at BetMGM Sportsbook, posted at -215.
Norway vs. England odds
| Moneyline | Total (Over/Under) |
| England (-215) | Over 2.5 goals (-135) |
| Norway (+175) | Under 2.5 goals (+110) |
How we got here
Norway is in the World Cup for the first time in 28 years, and they are in the quarterfinals after a shocking 2-1 win over Brazil.
England faced a hostile crowd in their last match in Mexico, where they defeated the hosts 3-2 in one of the tournament's best matches.
Norway vs. England betting analysis
England have one of their most talented teams in decades, and there is a lot of pressure on them. They cannot play tight against a Norway team that have played well in the two knockout-phase matches, winning each 2-1.
The Three Lions have not won the World Cup since 1966 when they hosted it. They have made the semifinals just once since.
Keep the big man in check
Manchester City star striker Erling Haaland scored both goals in the Brazil match, and he ranks tied for second with seven goals in the tournament. He has scored in 14 straight international matches and is a big attacker who creates space and is solid in the air.
After two clean sheets, the English defense has shown some cracks, allowing three goals in their last two matches. They need to shore up that side of the pitch and be physical with Haaland.
The dynamic duo
The Three Lions’ attack is led by the duo of Harry Kane and Jordan Bellingham. Of the 11 goals the squad has tallied at the World Cup, they have 10 of them.
The Norse have conceded at least one goal in every match, and keeping tabs on this English duo will be key. Norway played solid defense in the win over Brazil, limiting their shots on goal and applying pressure deep. They need to play that way again against an England team that will attack often.
Norway had solid counterattacks in the last match and needs to take advantage of them again, as they will likely lose the time-of-possession battle.
England not at full strength
There are some concerns for England, as they are without some key players, especially on the defensive side of the pitch. Defender Jarrell Quansah is suspended after a red card against Mexico, and fellow defender Reece James has an injury issue.
One big loss is midfielder Jordan Henderson, who is out for the tournament after a wrist fracture that was suffered in a freak accident after the last match.
Do it again in the midfield
Norway played great in the midfield in their last match, with Sander Berge and Martin Ødegaard combining for 254 touches. Their play will be key again when facing an England midfield that is tactically sound and has more talent than the Norse.
Norway vs. England Prediction: England moneyline (-215)
One key factor in this match is that 10 of Norway's 11 regulars play in the English Premier League. Most of the Three Lions do as well, and they will be familiar with them.
This will be a tight match, but England has more talent on the pitch and will come through in a hard-fought 2-1 win.
Norway vs. England prop bets
Here are some of the prop bets we like at DraftKings Sportsbook for this quarterfinal encounter.
- Erling Haaland 3+ shots (+225) – This is a great value bet for the Norwegian star striker, who has had at least four shots in every match.
- England Over 1.5 goals (-130) – The Three Lions have scored at least two goals in four of their five World Cup matches, including the last three.
