UFC 269 Betting Guide Oliveira v Poirier, Nunes v Pena, O’Malley v Paiva

ChalkTalk | UFC 269 Oliveira vs Poirier 🥋 UFC Betting Guide

Charles Oliveira defends his lightweight belt while Dustin Poirier attempts to win back the belt this Saturday December 11th during UFC 269: Oliveira vs Poirier. This isn’t the only title fight on the card as the co main sees Julianna Pena attempt to shock the UFC world and take the women’s Bantamweight belt away from Amanda Nunes. This card is full of exciting non-title fights like the Raulian Paiva vs. up-and-comer Sean O’Malley.

Follow along to get all of the latest information on the fight, and see who our experts predict to win along with an interview from MMA fighter Peter Kohout where he predicts winners from the UFC 269 fights. The easiest way to bet on any upcoming UFC fight is with our UFC betting comparison page which allows you to see live odds from multiple sportsbooks all in one place.

Charles Oliveira vs. Dustin Poirier

With a record of 31-8-0 Charles Oliveira has been around the fight game for quite some time. During his 11 year stint in the UFC he has become the record holder for most submission wins in history at 14 and most finishes at 17. “Do Bronx” lost three out of his four fights from 2016-2017, but has found his stride since.

Following his last loss to Paul Felder the 32 year old Brazilian won nine straight fights, most recently a matchup vs. Michael Chandler in May of 2021 at UFC 262 for the Lightweight title. Now he makes his first title defense against Poirier, a fight in which he will be the underdog.

Dustin Poirier and his record of 28-6-0 is likely the best fighter currently in the UFC who isn’t in possession of a title belt. He plans to change that and hopefully regain the belt he lost when he was submitted by Khabib Nurmagomedov at 2019’s UFC 242. He had a chance previously to fight for the title, but turned it down to instead chase the pay day in a rematch vs. Conor McGregor.

The truth is that all of the focus in this fight is on Poirier and Oliveira simply isn’t getting the respect he deserves as the current champion. This fight should be a great one. The edge standing up has to go to Dustin as he is the better striker and has more power. However, Oliveira’s striking style is unorthodox and we’ve seen opponents in the past struggle to defend it. Not to mention Oliveira is the better grappler on the ground and as mentioned before is one of the most dangerous men in the UFC when it comes to submission.

Still Poirier is the favorite in every online sportsbook at -160 or higher for a reason. I see him regaining his title and I’d also take him to do it via KO/TKO at +125.

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Amanda Nunes vs. Julianna Pena

The truth here is that most people and sportsbooks alike aren’t giving Pena a snowball’s chance in hell at beating Amanda Nunes. Most betting sites currently have Nunes somewhere around -900 meaning you’d have to bet $900 just to get $100 back.

Nunes deserves this spread as she defends her bantamweight title for the fifth time after taking it from Miesha Tate in July 2016 at UFC 200. While Pena is a good new fighter, she simply isn’t on the level as Nunes.

Even though myself, our MMA expert Peter Kohout and the rest of the world would say to pick Nunes, it’s tough to say bet on the moneyline when the odds are -900 or even higher on some of the best UFC betting sites. Therefore I’d say to take Nunes to win by KO/TKO in the first round at +260.

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Raulian Paiva vs. Sean O’Malley

At 14-1-0 Sean O’Malley is a crowd favorite and picked by many to be the eventual Bantamweight champion. Before getting a shot at a title he’ll need to likely pick up a few more wins including this one against 21-3-0 Raulian Paiva who comes into this fight with three wins in a row.

Peter Kohout thinks O’Malley should be able to add another notch on to his growing resume, but he’s shown in the past that he can lack the power to put quality opponents away. You can take him to win at -340, but I’d look at taking him to win by points at +260.

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