Week 13 Monday Night Football Betting Guide Patriots vs. Bills

Week 13 wraps up with a fight for the AFC East’s top spot on Monday Night Football as the 8-4 New England Patriots host the 7-4 Buffalo Bills. As always our experts give you the best advice on how to bet the spread, moneyline, total points and props like anytime touchdown scorer. To get in on even more NFL action check out our football odds comparison tool which gives you live odds for every game and lets you compare them across different sportsbooks at the same time.

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NFL Week 13 🏈Betting Guide Patriots @ Bills

The Spread: Bills -3 (-110)

The Patriots are the NFL’s hottest team having won 6 straight, but the Bills are still 2.5 point home favorites even though they’ve only beaten one winning team this season.

We’re used to the Patriots having a great defense, however that shouldn’t distract you from their offense. Over their last six games, New England is leading the league in scoring with 36.3 points per game. Not every team was the Jets or Falcons either, the Pats dropped 36 on the Titans last week, 45 on the Browns, and 27 on the Chargers. Rookie quarterback Mac Jones has settled into his role as a game manager, avoided costly turnovers, and is now the top candidate for rookie of the year according to most sportsbooks.

Buffalo on the other hand has struggled to stay consistent on offense. They can drop 43 points on Washington, or just six against jacksonville. Josh Allen fantasy owners know this all too well as they’ve witnessed the third year QB ride a roller coaster of performances all season long that’s led to 47 total touchdowns and 14 turnovers. I think this is a get right game for the Bills and will kick start the back end of their season. Take them to both win straight up and against the spread.

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Point Total: Over 42.5 (-110)

The point total sits at a low 42.5 which makes sense considering these are two of the best defenses in the league currently. Still, both of these teams are used to putting up points and in a divisional rivalry I don’t see this being any different. Take the over and look forward to an exciting game.

The only word of caution I’d give it regarding the weather. A storm is predicted to pass through Foxborough and the conditions could factor into the game. If there is heavy rain and wind, both teams may have to rely more on the ground game. If this is the case take the under, as the game will likely slow down and points will be hard to come by.

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Props

Anytime Touchdown Scorer: Stefon Diggs (+160)

I’m going to be real with you guys here, I need Stefon Diggs to have a bad fantasy game for my opponent in order for me to win and keep my playoff hopes alive. However, even I know there’s few QB/WR tandems in the league better than Josh Allen and Stefon Diggs.

Diggs has been on a tear as of late, scoring six touchdowns over his last six games, and over those games has received anywhere from six to thirteen(!) targets. If the Bills are going to win this matchup it’s because Josh Allen consistently gets the ball to Diggs.

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